D-Backs vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Mets MLB game on May 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
D-Backs
4
2
May 1, 5:10PM Citi Field
Mets
May 1, 5:10PM Citi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 4 9 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 2 5 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
D-Backs ARI
Win %
100%
0%
Mets NYM
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Tyrone Taylor grounds out to shallow infield, Geraldo Perdomo to Pavin Smith.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Carroll RF50100030.20.400
2 G. Perdomo SS41211110.51.850
3 P. Smith 1B310002300.400
4 J. Naylor DH30100100.3331.167
5 E. Suárez 3B410100100.000
6 L. Gurriel LF40100010.250.500
7 A. Thomas CF40210010.51.000
8 T. Tawa 2B31111110.3331.833
9 J. Herrera C40100000.250.500
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS400000200.000
2 J. Soto RF32222100.6673.417
3 P. Alonso 1B30100110.3330.833
4 J. Winker DH30100120.3331.167
5 M. Vientos 3B400000200.000
6 B. Nimmo LF400000200.000
7 L. Torrens C300001100.250
8 J. McNeil 2B40100010.250.500
9 T. Taylor CF400000200.000

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D-Backs vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Mets
  • Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +145, Mets -162

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 41%
  • Mets: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 41%, while the Mets have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.