Pirates vs. Braves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Braves MLB game on September 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Johan Oviedo 2-0, 3.57 ERA
1
4
Sep 28, 3:15 PM ET Truist Park
Braves
Charlie Morton 9-11, 5.89 ERA
Sep 28, 3:15 PM ET Truist Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1
Braves
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 X 4 6 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Braves
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Yorke grounds out to shallow infield, Raisel Iglesias to Nick Allen to Matt Olson.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Triolo SS300001200.250
2 N. Gonzales 2B400000100.000
3 J. Suwinski CF100000000.000
4 S. Horwitz DH100000000.000
5 J. Bart C40110010.250.500
6 O. Cruz PH100000100.000
7 N. Yorke RF40100010.250.500
8 R. Flores 1B300000100.000
9 C. Devanney 3B20100110.51.167
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Profar LF400000200.000
2 M. Olson 1B32210100.6671.750
3 R. Acuña RF31121120.3331.833
4 D. Baldwin C400000000.000
5 H. Kim SS300001100.250
6 M. Harris CF30100000.3330.666
7 M. Ozuna DH300000100.000
8 N. Alvarez 3B20100110.51.167
9 N. Allen 2B31100000.3331.000

Pirates vs. Braves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Braves
  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 3:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Truist Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Braves favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates +168, Braves -190

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 36%
  • Braves: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 36%, while the Braves have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Braves are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Truist Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Braves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.