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D-Backs vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Padres MLB game on September 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
D-Backs
Zac Gallen 13-14, 4.70 ERA
4
7
Sep 26, 9:40 PM ET PETCO Park
Padres
Yu Darvish 4-5, 5.51 ERA
Sep 26, 9:40 PM ET PETCO Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D-Backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | X | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- D-Backs
- Padres
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Gabriel Moreno pops out to shallow right field to Luis Arraez.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Perdomo | SS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.600 |
| 2 | K. Marte | 2B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 1.400 |
| 3 | C. Carroll | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.400 |
| 4 | G. Moreno | DH | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 5 | B. Alexander | 3B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 6 | A. Del Castillo | PH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| 7 | T. Tawa | LF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 8 | I. Vargas | 1B | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 1.417 |
| 9 | J. Barrosa | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.000 |
| 2 | L. Arraez | 1B | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.800 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.650 |
| 4 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 5 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0.800 |
| 6 | B. Johnson | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | R. O'Hearn | DH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.250 |
| 8 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 9 | F. Fermin | C | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
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D-Backs vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: D-Backs vs. Padres
- Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: PETCO Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5
- Moneyline Odds: D-Backs +123, Padres -126
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- D-Backs: 43%
- Padres: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 43%, while the Padres have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at PETCO Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our D-Backs vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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