Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Mets MLB game on September 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
7
4
Sep 17, 11:10 PM Citi Field
Mets
Sep 17, 11:10 PM Citi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
1 1 0 0 4 0 0 0 1 7 12 0
Mets
1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 4 9 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Padres SD
Win %
100%
0%
Mets NYM
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Juan Soto lines out to shallow infield, Robert Suarez to Luis Arraez.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF32200200.6671.467
2 L. Arraez 1B41200100.51.100
3 M. Machado 3B51341000.61.800
4 G. Sheets DH400100200.000
5 R. Laureano LF41211100.51.850
6 J. Merrill CF51200010.40.800
7 J. Iglesias SS400001100.200
8 J. Cronenworth 2B31110000.3330.833
9 E. Díaz C200000000.333
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS40100100.250.650
2 J. Soto RF51111010.21.000
3 P. Alonso 1B41211020.51.750
4 B. Nimmo LF400000200.000
5 S. Marte DH41111010.251.250
6 J. McNeil 2B400000000.000
7 B. Baty 3B40300010.751.750
8 F. Alvarez C41111000.251.250
9 M. Vientos PH100000000.000

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Padres vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Padres vs. Mets
  • Date: Wednesday, September 17, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Padres +110, Mets -129

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Padres: 46%
  • Mets: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 46%, while the Mets have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Padres in the MLB game at Citi Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.