Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB game on September 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 8-6, 4.22 ERA
4
6
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Garrett Crochet 15-5, 2.57 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 7 0
Red Sox
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 X 6 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
José Caballero strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Slater LF400000300.000
2 A. Judge DH41211020.51.750
3 C. Bellinger RF400000200.000
4 R. McMahon 3B000000000.000
5 T. Grisham CF100000100.000
6 P. Goldschmidt 1B30100100.3330.833
7 J. Chisholm 2B400000100.000
8 J. Caballero SS41111030.251.250
9 B. Rice C30100000.3331.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF41100000.251.000
2 A. Bregman 3B41110010.250.500
3 T. Story SS41200010.51.000
4 N. Lowe 1B31210100.6671.417
5 R. González 2B41210000.51.250
6 M. Yoshida DH30210000.6671.167
7 N. Eaton RF000000000.000
8 C. Narváez C41111010.251.250
9 C. Rafaela CF400000100.000

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees +135, Red Sox -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 41%
  • Red Sox: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 41%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.