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Pirates vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Orioles MLB game on September 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
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Sep 11, 5:05PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Sep 11, 5:05PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Orioles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | X | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Liover Peguero strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Triolo | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.500 |
| 2 | T. Pham | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 3 | B. Reynolds | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 4 | N. Gonzales | 2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 5 | J. H. Bae | DH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 | H. Davis | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | N. Yorke | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.750 |
| 8 | O. Cruz | PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 9 | L. Peguero | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.833 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Holliday | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 2 | D. Carlson | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 | G. Henderson | SS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 1.167 |
| 4 | E. Rivera | 3B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 5 | D. Beavers | RF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 6 | C. Cowser | CF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 7 | S. Basallo | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 8 | A. Jackson | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 9 | C. Mayo | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
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Pirates vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pirates vs. Orioles
- Date: Thursday, September 11, 2025
- Time: 1:05 PM ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8
- Moneyline Odds: Pirates +108, Orioles -111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pirates: 43%
- Orioles: 57%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 43%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pirates vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
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