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Yankees vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Astros MLB game on September 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
8
4
Sep 4, 11:40PM Daikin Park
Astros
Sep 4, 11:40PM Daikin Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 1 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 8 9 3
Astros
0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 4 10 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Yankees NYY
Win %
100%
0%
Astros HOU
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF52231010.41.400
2 P. Goldschmidt 1B101000012.000
3 A. Judge DH200003000.600
4 C. Bellinger RF50110010.20.400
5 J. Domínguez LF110000000.000
6 J. Caballero 2B200101100.333
7 A. Wells C220002100.500
8 A. Volpe SS40100010.250.500
9 R. McMahon 3B42331000.752.250
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Peña SS50100010.20.400
2 Y. Alvarez LF52421000.82.400
3 J. Altuve DH300002200.400
4 C. Correa 3B50200010.41.000
5 C. Walker 1B500000300.000
6 Y. Diaz C300001100.250
7 J. Sánchez RF21111000.52.500
8 V. Caratini PH111000012.000
9 T. Trammell CF20100010.51.500

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Yankees vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Astros
  • Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -138, Astros +125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 56%
  • Astros: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 56%, while the Astros have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.

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