Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Mets MLB game on August 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Marlins
7
4
Aug 28, 11:10PM Citi Field
Mets
Aug 28, 11:10PM Citi Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 7 9 1
Mets
2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 7 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Marlins MIA
Win %
100%
0%
Mets NYM
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Juan Soto grounds out to second base, Xavier Edwards to Liam Hicks.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B410000000.200
2 J. Marsee LF52200010.40.800
3 L. Hicks 1B52210000.40.800
4 A. Ramírez C41110010.250.450
5 D. Hill CF100000000.000
6 O. Lopez SS50220010.40.800
7 H. Hernández DH200101100.250
8 M. Acosta 3B30100100.3330.833
9 D. Myers RF300001000.250
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS51300010.61.200
2 J. Soto RF410001100.200
3 P. Alonso 1B42221000.52.000
4 B. Nimmo LF40120010.250.750
5 M. Vientos DH400000200.000
6 J. McNeil 2B200001100.500
7 B. Baty 3B40100020.250.500
8 C. Mullins CF300001000.250
9 S. Marte PH100000000.000

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Marlins vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Mets
  • Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins +220, Mets -260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 30%
  • Mets: 70%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 30%, while the Mets have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Citi Field on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.