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Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Orioles MLB game on August 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aug 28, 5:05PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Aug 28, 5:05PM Oriole Park at Camden Yards
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Orioles | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jeremiah Jackson flies out to deep center field to Nate Eaton.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Anthony | RF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.667 | 1.417 |
| 2 | A. Bregman | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 3 | T. Story | SS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1.250 |
| 4 | R. González | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 5 | R. Refsnyder | DH | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.750 |
| 6 | N. Eaton | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | C. Narváez | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Rafaela | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 9 | J. Garcia | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.333 | 1.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Holliday | 2B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.000 |
| 2 | J. Jackson | 3B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.000 |
| 3 | G. Henderson | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 4 | R. Mountcastle | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 5 | L. Vázquez | 1B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 6 | C. Cowser | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 7 | D. Beavers | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 8 | D. Carlson | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.333 | 1.167 |
| 9 | A. Jackson | C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 1.833 |
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Red Sox vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Orioles
- Date: Thursday, August 28, 2025
- Time: 1:05 PM ET
- Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -195, Orioles +175
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 63%
- Orioles: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 63%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
