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Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Nationals MLB game on August 17, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
11
9
Aug 17, 3:35PM Nationals Park
Aug 17, 3:35PM Nationals Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
Nationals | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
James Wood strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.167 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.650 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.100 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.850 |
| 5 | N. Castellanos | RF | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.600 |
| 6 | H. Bader | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.733 |
| 7 | B. Marsh | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 8 | B. Stott | 2B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.650 |
| 9 | R. Marchán | C | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. García | DH | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.550 |
| 2 | C. Abrams | SS | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.400 |
| 3 | P. DeJong | 1B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1.400 |
| 4 | D. Lile | LF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 1.000 |
| 5 | D. Crews | RF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.600 |
| 6 | J. Wood | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | D. Millas | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.750 |
| 8 | B. House | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 9 | R. Hassell | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
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Phillies vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Phillies vs. Nationals
- Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
- Time: 11:35 AM ET
- Venue: Nationals Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 10
- Moneyline Odds: Phillies -205, Nationals +180
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Phillies: 60%
- Nationals: 40%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 60%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Phillies vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
