Red Sox vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Padres MLB game on August 10, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
2
6
Aug 10, 8:10 PM PETCO Park
Padres
Aug 10, 8:10 PM PETCO Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 5 0
Padres
0 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 X 6 9 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Red Sox BOS
Win %
0%
100%
Padres SD
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF30100120.3330.833
2 A. Bregman 3B300001100.250
3 J. Duran CF310001100.250
4 T. Story SS41100020.250.500
5 M. Yoshida DH300000100.250
6 R. González 1B40110000.250.500
7 W. Abreu RF40200020.51.000
8 C. Rafaela 2B400000200.000
9 C. Narváez C000000000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF32210110.6671.467
2 L. Arraez DH40220000.51.250
3 M. Machado 3B41100010.250.500
4 R. O'Hearn 1B300100200.000
5 X. Bogaerts SS41110020.250.500
6 J. Merrill CF300001000.250
7 R. Laureano LF300001200.250
8 J. Cronenworth 2B21110210.51.750
9 F. Fermin C41200010.51.000

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Red Sox vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Padres
  • Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: PETCO Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +128, Padres -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 41%
  • Padres: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 41%, while the Padres have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at PETCO Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.