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Padres vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [6/15/2026]
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Padres vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. D-Backs MLB game on August 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
10
5
Aug 6, 1:40 AM Chase Field
Aug 6, 1:40 AM Chase Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 1 |
D-Backs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Blaze Alexander flies out to deep right field to Fernando Tatis.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.143 |
| 2 | L. Arraez | 1B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.167 | 0.334 |
| 3 | M. Machado | DH | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.467 |
| 4 | J. Merrill | CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.583 |
| 5 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.4 | 1.500 |
| 6 | R. Laureano | LF | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.500 |
| 7 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.417 |
| 8 | J. Iglesias | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.933 |
| 9 | F. Fermin | C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.833 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Carroll | RF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 2 | K. Marte | 2B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.200 |
| 3 | G. Perdomo | SS | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.333 | 1.267 |
| 4 | L. Gurriel | DH | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 2.000 |
| 5 | T. Locklear | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.400 |
| 6 | J. Barrosa | LF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | B. Alexander | 3B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 8 | A. Thomas | CF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 9 | J. McCann | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
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Padres vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Padres vs. D-Backs
- Date: Tuesday, August 5, 2025
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8
- Moneyline Odds: Padres -102, D-Backs +105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Padres: 54%
- D-Backs: 46%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 54%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 46%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the D-Backs in the MLB game at Chase Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Padres vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
