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Red Sox vs. Twins Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Twins MLB game on July 28, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
4
5
Jul 28, 11:40PM Target Field
Jul 28, 11:40PM Target Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Twins | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Brooks Lee singles to left field. Carlos Correa to second. Willi Castro scores. Mickey Gasper scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. González | 1B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 2 | A. Bregman | 3B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 1.400 |
| 3 | J. Duran | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.900 |
| 4 | T. Story | SS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 5 | M. Yoshida | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 6 | C. Narváez | C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 1.750 |
| 8 | C. Rafaela | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 9 | D. Hamilton | 2B | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Gasper | DH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| 2 | W. Castro | LF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
| 3 | C. Correa | SS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 4 | B. Lee | 2B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 5 | R. Lewis | 3B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 6 | H. Bader | CF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| 7 | T. France | 1B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 8 | C. Vázquez | C | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 9 | D. Keirsey | RF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.750 |
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Red Sox vs. Twins: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Red Sox vs. Twins
- Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
- Time: 7:40 PM ET
- Venue: Target Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Twins favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9
- Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -106, Twins -105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Red Sox: 49%
- Twins: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 49%, while the Twins have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Twins are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Target Field on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Red Sox vs. Twins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
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