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Astros vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. D-Backs MLB game on July 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
6
3
Jul 22, 1:40 AM Chase Field
Jul 22, 1:40 AM Chase Field
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
D-Backs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Josh Naylor flies out to right field to Cam Smith.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C. Smith | RF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 2 | J. Altuve | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.750 |
| 3 | V. Caratini | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 4 | C. Walker | 1B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.250 |
| 5 | T. Trammell | LF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0.500 |
| 6 | M. Dubón | 3B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| 7 | C. McCormick | CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.000 |
| 8 | B. Matthews | 2B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 2.500 |
| 9 | Z. Short | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.000 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K. Marte | DH | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.900 |
| 2 | C. Carroll | CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.400 |
| 3 | L. Gurriel | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
| 4 | E. Suárez | 3B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 1.400 |
| 5 | J. Naylor | 1B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0.800 |
| 6 | R. Grichuk | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. McCann | C | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.667 | 1.417 |
| 8 | B. Alexander | 2B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.750 |
| 9 | G. Perdomo | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
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Astros vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Astros vs. D-Backs
- Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Field
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: D-Backs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9
- Moneyline Odds: Astros +125, D-Backs -139
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Astros: 42%
- D-Backs: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 42%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Chase Field on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Astros vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
