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Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Nationals MLB game on July 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
11
2
Jul 4, 3:05PM Nationals Park
Nationals
Jul 4, 3:05PM Nationals Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 2 0 0 7 0 0 2 0 11 16 0
Nationals
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 6 0
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Red Sox BOS
Win %
100%
0%
Nationals WSH
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Keibert Ruiz grounds out to second base, David Hamilton to Abraham Toro.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Eaton LF100000000.000
2 R. Anthony DH31200200.6671.833
3 A. Toro 1B51210100.40.900
4 C. Narváez C61200030.3330.666
5 W. Abreu RF420101100.200
6 T. Story SS53441000.82.200
7 M. Mayer 3B51210020.40.800
8 C. Rafaela CF51110010.20.600
9 D. Hamilton 2B40100110.250.650
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Abrams SS31100100.3330.833
2 A. Call LF100000000.000
3 L. García 2B300100000.000
4 N. Lowe 1B30100120.3330.833
5 J. Bell DH40100020.250.500
6 B. House 3B410000100.000
7 D. Lile RF40110000.250.750
8 K. Ruiz C40100020.250.500
9 J. Young CF30100000.3330.666

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Red Sox vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Nationals
  • Date: Friday, July 4, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 AM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox -113, Nationals -102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 50%
  • Nationals: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 50%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nationals are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.

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