Juarez vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on September 12, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Juarez
1
:
1
Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria (Aguascalientes)
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
T. Badaloni (73')
Soccer ball icon
O. Estupinan (3')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: D. Villalpando replaces R. Pizarro
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Martinez replaces K. Rosero
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces P. Perez
  4. 80'
    Yellow Card
    D. Garcia (Juarez) cautioned
  5. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by D. De Buen
    1-1
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Sanchez replaces F. Rossano
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces O. Estupinan
  8. 69'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces T. Jacob
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Ricardinho replaces R. Fulgencio
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rojas (Necaxa) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces I. Rodriguez
  13. 15'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 13'
    Yellow Card
    Puma (Juarez) cautioned
  15. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan, assisted by Puma
    1-0

Juarez vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +250, Necaxa +115, draw +235
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-122)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 25.0%
  • Necaxa: 51.1%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Necaxa (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Juarez vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.1%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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