Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on September 12, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
4
1
Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Fabio Gomes (45')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (pen.) (11')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (45')
Soccer ball icon
A. Medina (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Macias (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by J. Macias
    3-1
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Macias (pen.)
    4-1
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces J. Sierra
  6. 76'
    Yellow Card
    J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: I. Gonzalez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces S. Fierro
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces A. Ramsey
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Angulo replaces R. Lopez
  12. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  13. 57'
    Penalty missed by N. Benedetti for Mazatlan FC
  14. 54'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces Dudu
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
    2-0
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by O. F. Moreno Villegas
    2-1
  18. 30'
    Yellow Card
    S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  19. 18'
    Yellow Card
    P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  20. 14'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  21. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
    1-0
  22. 9'
    Yellow Card
    F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +120, Mazatlan +250, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+118/-144)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 44.1%
  • Mazatlan: 27.3%
  • Draw: 28.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan (14.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.1%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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