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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Liga MX game on September 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
4
1
Sep 13, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Sep 13, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Fabio Gomes (45')
G. Martinez (pen.) (11')
G. Martinez (45')
A. Medina (90')
J. Macias (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by J. Macias
3-1
90'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Macias (pen.)
4-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces J. Sierra
76'
Yellow Card
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces J. Ruvalcaba
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: I. Gonzalez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces S. Fierro
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces A. Ramsey
60'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Angulo replaces R. Lopez
59'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
57'
Penalty missed by N. Benedetti for Mazatlan FC
54'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces Dudu
45'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
2-0
45'
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by O. F. Moreno Villegas
2-1
30'
Yellow Card
S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
11'
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pumas UNAM +120, Mazatlan +250, Draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+118/-144)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 44.1%
  • Mazatlan: 27.3%
  • Draw: 28.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Mazatlan a win probability of 27.3%, while Pumas UNAM has a win probability of 44.1%. The chance of a draw is 28.6%.

Summary

Our Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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