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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on September 12, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
4
1
Sep 13, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Sep 13, 3AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Fabio Gomes (45')
G. Martinez (pen.) (11')
G. Martinez (45')
A. Medina (90')
J. Macias (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Medina, assisted by J. Macias
3-1
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Macias (pen.)
4-1
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces J. Sierra
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Medina replaces J. Ruvalcaba
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: I. Gonzalez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces S. Fierro
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Carrasquilla replaces A. Ramsey
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Angulo replaces R. Lopez
J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Penalty missed by N. Benedetti for Mazatlan FC
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Y. Barcenas replaces Dudu
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
2-0
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Fabio Gomes, assisted by O. F. Moreno Villegas
2-1
S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
1-0
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan
- Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +120, Mazatlan +250, draw +230
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+118/-144)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Pumas UNAM: 44.1%
- Mazatlan: 27.3%
- Draw: 28.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 1-0 Mazatlan, with a probability of 14%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.1% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 27.3%, with the draw at 28.6%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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