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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca in the World Cup on August 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
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Aug 17, 3:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Aug 17, 3:10AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
J. Angulo (67')
J. Ruvalcaba (13')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Rivas replaces A. Carrasquilla
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces M. Ruiz
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: O. Virgen replaces J. Angulo
R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces J. Ruvalcaba
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces H. Castro
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by Paulinho
1-1
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces N. Castro
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Monroy replaces J. Caicedo
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
S. Trigos (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
J. Ruvalcaba (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by R. Duarte
1-0
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Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca
- Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
- Time: 11:10 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +330, Toluca -115, draw +255
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-135)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Pumas UNAM: 21.8%
- Toluca: 54.5%
- Draw: 23.8%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Toluca.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.5%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Toluca prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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