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Toluca vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Juarez Liga MX game on August 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Toluca
2
0
Aug 12, 3AM Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Ciudad Juárez)
Juarez
Aug 12, 3AM Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Ciudad Juárez)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
Paulinho (34')
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (48')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
JUA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Arce replaces R. Morales
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Arroyo replaces J. Angulo
88'
Yellow Card
A. Alvarez (Toluca) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
(Toluca) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
(Juarez) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: O. Virgen replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces N. Castro
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: R. Fulgencio replaces Puma
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Alvarez replaces Paulinho
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces H. E. Martinez Yepez
65'
Yellow Card
M. Mosquera (Juarez) cautioned
64'
Yellow Card
Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces A. Mayorga
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Ricardinho replaces R. Pizarro
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin replaces D. Garcia
55'
Yellow Card
Madson (Juarez) cautioned
48'
Goal scored for Toluca by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by N. Castro
2-0
45'
Yellow Card
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (Toluca) cautioned
34'
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by R. Morales
1-0

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Toluca vs. Juarez: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Juarez
  • Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Toluca +105, Juarez +260, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+107)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Toluca: 52.0%
  • Juarez: 25.0%
  • Draw: 23.0%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Toluca 1-1 Juarez, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Juarez a win probability of 25.0%, while Toluca has a win probability of 52.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.0%.

Summary

Our Toluca vs. Juarez predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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