Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro Liga MX match on April 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
:
1
Estadio La Corregidora
Queretaro
Estadio La Corregidora
QueretaroQUT
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
J. Marquez (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces G. Piovi
  2. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces C. Rodriguez
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: W. Madrid replaces B. Duarte
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces C. Garcia
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rotondi
  6. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Gomez replaces J. Unjanque
  7. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: F. Pena replaces J. Cazares
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. Palavecino
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces J. Paradela
  10. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by J. Marquez (o.g.)
    1-1
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. Duarte (Queretaro) cautioned
  13. 29'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Cazares replaces F. Venegas
  14. 24'
    Yellow Card
    D. Parra (Queretaro) cautioned
  15. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by W. Ditta
    1-0
  16. 5'
    Yellow Card
    G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned

Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro
  • Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -165, Queretaro +450, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-167/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 56.6%
  • Queretaro: 20.4%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-0 Queretaro (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Queretaro? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.6%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-0 Queretaro.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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