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Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul at the Liga MX on July 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Club Leon
1
4
Jul 27, 1AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Jul 27, 1AM Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
A. Sepulveda (62')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (66')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (87')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Orozco (o.g.) (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LEO
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by G. Piovi
1-4
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez
1-3
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: D. Ramirez replaces S. Santos
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces J. Paradela
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces A. Sepulveda
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Leon by J. Orozco (o.g.)
1-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces L. Faravelli
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: E. Rodriguez replaces A. Estrada
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: R. Funes Mori replaces E. Ayon
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Paradela
0-2
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Rivero replaces L. Romero
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by J. Paradela
0-1
51'
Yellow Card
E. Ayon (Club Leon) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, July 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Olímpico Universitario
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +550, Cruz Azul -220, draw +370
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Club Leon: 17.7%
  • Cruz Azul: 60.9%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Club Leon 0-1 Cruz Azul, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.7% probability, while Cruz Azul sits at 60.9%, with the draw at 21.4%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Club Leon vs. Cruz Azul prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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