Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/21/2026]
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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
3
2
Mar 3, 10:10 PM ET
Mar 3, 10:10 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
R. Morales (pen.) (29')
A. Angulo (63')
J. Angulo (37')
D. Barbosa (73')
Paulinho (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Pumas UNAM
- Toluca
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces P. Vite
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Duarte replaces A. Azuaje
Substitution for Toluca: A. Briseno replaces J. Angulo
Goal scored for Toluca by Paulinho, assisted by J. Gallardo
3-2
Substitution for Toluca: N. Castro replaces J. Diaz
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces A. Medina
Goal scored for Toluca by D. Barbosa, assisted by Helinho
2-2
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by A. Angulo, assisted by U. Antuna
1-2
Substitution for Toluca: Helinho replaces Luan
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces J. Carrillo
J. Angulo (Toluca) cautioned
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by P. Perez
1-1
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales (pen.)
0-1
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Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca -105, Pumas UNAM +290, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+112)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Toluca: 43.7%
- Pumas UNAM: 31.4%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Toluca vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.7%.
The most likely correct score is Toluca 1-1 Pumas UNAM.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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