Tigres UANL vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Puebla Liga MX match on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Tigres UANL
1
3
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
E. Gomez (45')
Soccer ball icon
E. Guerra (53')
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C. Baltazar (85')
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J. Brunetta (pen.) (68')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces I. Moreno
  2. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by C. Baltazar, assisted by K. Velasco
    1-3
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces E. Navarro
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces E. Gomez
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces J. Angulo
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces E. Guerra
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces A. Ramirez
  8. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta (pen.)
    1-2
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: O. Herrera replaces V. Lorona
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces M. Flores
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: Joaquim replaces C. Araujo
  12. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Guerra
    0-2
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces J. Vigon
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by E. Gomez, assisted by E. Guerra
    0-1
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    V. Lorona (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Tigres UANL vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Puebla
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +100, Puebla +285, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 52.1%
  • Puebla: 23.9%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Puebla (11.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.1%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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