Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
2
Mar 3, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Mar 3, 8:00 PM ET Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
A. Dominguez (14')
Soccer ball icon
O. Idrissi (33')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruiz (53')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces S. Rodriguez
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Casas replaces D. Leyva
79'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces O. Idrissi
68'
Yellow Card
C. Sanchez (Pachuca) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by L. Faravelli
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces R. Martinez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces K. Rosero
39'
Yellow Card
A. Pena (Necaxa) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-2
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by A. Dominguez, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-1

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Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +350, Pachuca -139, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 24.2%
  • Pachuca: 52.7%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. Pachuca, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.