Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
2
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
A. Dominguez (14')
Soccer ball icon
O. Idrissi (33')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruiz (53')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces S. Rodriguez
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
  6. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: B. Casas replaces D. Leyva
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces O. Idrissi
  9. 68'
    Yellow Card
    C. Sanchez (Pachuca) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy
  11. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by L. Faravelli
    1-2
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces R. Martinez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces K. Rosero
  15. 39'
    Yellow Card
    A. Pena (Necaxa) cautioned
  16. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
    0-2
  17. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by A. Dominguez, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
    0-1

Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +350, Pachuca -139, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 24.2%
  • Pachuca: 52.7%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.7%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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