Necaxa vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
2
Club Leon
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (65')
Soccer ball icon
D. Cambindo (pen.) (86')
Soccer ball icon
A. Oliveros (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: I. Rodriguez replaces I. Diaz
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: R. Funes Mori replaces D. Cambindo
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Rossano (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Cambindo (pen.)
    1-2
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces A. Pena
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces C. Calderon
  7. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
  8. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Leon by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by I. Diaz
    1-1
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces N. Vallejo
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: F. Beltran Cruz replaces D. Arcila
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces R. Monreal
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces D. Ramirez
  13. 57'
    Yellow Card
    A. Oliveros (Necaxa) cautioned
  14. 49'
    Yellow Card
    R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces A. E. Almendra
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Oliveros, assisted by D. Leyva
    1-0

Necaxa vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +235, Club Leon +115, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 25.8%
  • Club Leon: 50.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Club Leon (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.8%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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