Necaxa vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
2
Feb 28, 8:06 PM ET
Club Leon
Feb 28, 8:06 PM ET
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco (65')
Soccer ball icon
D. Cambindo (pen.) (86')
Soccer ball icon
A. Oliveros (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: I. Rodriguez replaces I. Diaz
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: R. Funes Mori replaces D. Cambindo
90'
Yellow Card
F. Rossano (Necaxa) cautioned
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Leon by D. Cambindo (pen.)
1-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces A. Pena
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces C. Calderon
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Leon by J. P. Dominguez Chonteco, assisted by I. Diaz
1-1
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces N. Vallejo
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: F. Beltran Cruz replaces D. Arcila
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Rosero replaces R. Monreal
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces D. Ramirez
57'
Yellow Card
A. Oliveros (Necaxa) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces A. E. Almendra
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Oliveros, assisted by D. Leyva
1-0

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Necaxa vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +235, Club Leon +115, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 25.8%
  • Club Leon: 50.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Club Leon (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Necaxa vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.8%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. Club Leon, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.