Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
2
Feb 21, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Feb 21, 10:05 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
G. Fernandez (34')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (85')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Ledezma
90'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Palavecino
1-2
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda, assisted by R. Marin
1-1
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces G. Fernandez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces E. Lira
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces O. Govea
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
51'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by A. Palavecino
0-1
33'
Yellow Card
O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
6'
Yellow Card
C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
6'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +195, Cruz Azul +135, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 28.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 45.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.