Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
2
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
G. Fernandez (34')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (85')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Ledezma
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Palavecino
    1-2
  5. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda, assisted by R. Marin
    1-1
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces G. Fernandez
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces E. Lira
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
  12. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces O. Govea
  13. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
  14. 51'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  15. 41'
    Yellow Card
    R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 38'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  18. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by A. Palavecino
    0-1
  19. 33'
    Yellow Card
    O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  20. 31'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  21. 6'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  22. 6'
    Yellow Card
    D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +195, Cruz Azul +135, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 28.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 45.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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