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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]
LMX
Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul in the World Cup on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
1
2
Feb 22, 3:05AM
Feb 22, 3:05AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
G. Fernandez (34')
C. Rodriguez (85')
A. Sepulveda (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Sandoval replaces R. Ledezma
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
L. Romero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Palavecino
1-2
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda, assisted by R. Marin
1-1
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces J. Rodarte
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces G. Fernandez
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces E. Lira
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces E. Alvarez
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: H. Camberos replaces O. Govea
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez, assisted by A. Palavecino
0-1
O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
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Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:05 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Guadalajara +195, Cruz Azul +135, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Guadalajara: 28.4%
- Cruz Azul: 45.8%
- Draw: 25.8%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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