San Luis vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Atlas Liga MX match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
2
3
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ET Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Feb 21, 6:00 PM ET Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
San LuisASL
D. Gonzalez (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguirre (pen.) (59')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rodriguez (83')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (3')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (41')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (83')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Luis
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces D. Gonzalez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Rodriguez replaces S. Hernandez
90'
Yellow Card
P. Ramirez (Atlas) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Robson Bambu replaces B. Galindo
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces G. Aguirre
83'
Red Card
E. Aguila (Atl. San Luis) sent off with a straight red card
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rodriguez, assisted by R. Schlegel
2-3
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
76'
Yellow Card
R. Meraz (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces E. Zaldivar
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
65'
Yellow Card
Joao Pedro Galvao (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces S. Munoz
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces L. Flores
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre (pen.)
2-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
45'
Yellow Card
R. Torres (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by D. Gonzalez (pen.)
2-1
44'
Yellow Card
G. Aguirre (Atlas) cautioned
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by E. Aguila, assisted by S. Munoz
2-0
33'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
Gustavo Ferrareis (Atlas) cautioned
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
1-0

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San Luis vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +200, Atlas +140, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+106/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 30.3%
  • Atlas: 44.0%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-1 Atlas (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Luis vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Atlas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Luis vs. Atlas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.