San Luis vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Luis vs. Atlas Liga MX match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
San Luis
2
3
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
San LuisASL
D. Gonzalez (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguirre (pen.) (59')
Soccer ball icon
A. Rodriguez (83')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (3')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (41')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (83')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Luis
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces D. Gonzalez
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: J. Rodriguez replaces S. Hernandez
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ramirez (Atlas) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Robson Bambu replaces B. Galindo
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces G. Aguirre
  6. 83'
    Red Card
    E. Aguila (Atl. San Luis) sent off with a straight red card
  7. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by A. Rodriguez, assisted by R. Schlegel
    2-3
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
  9. 76'
    Yellow Card
    R. Meraz (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces E. Zaldivar
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
  12. 65'
    Yellow Card
    Joao Pedro Galvao (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  13. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces S. Munoz
  14. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Duarte replaces L. Flores
  15. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre (pen.)
    2-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Torres (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  19. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by D. Gonzalez (pen.)
    2-1
  20. 44'
    Yellow Card
    G. Aguirre (Atlas) cautioned
  21. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by E. Aguila, assisted by S. Munoz
    2-0
  22. 33'
    Yellow Card
    S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  23. 25'
    Yellow Card
    Gustavo Ferrareis (Atlas) cautioned
  24. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
    1-0

San Luis vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Luis vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Luis +200, Atlas +140, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+106/-130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Luis: 30.3%
  • Atlas: 44.0%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Luis 1-1 Atlas (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win San Luis vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Atlas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Luis 1-1 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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