Necaxa vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Juarez Liga MX match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
2
1
Juarez
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Ricardinho (40')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (43')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruiz (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: J. Manriquez replaces D. Garcia
  2. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by T. Badaloni
    2-1
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces A. E. Almendra
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: E. Ayon replaces O. Estupinan
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces Monchu
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces J. Carranza
  8. 77'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mayorga (Juarez) cautioned
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces Ricardinho
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: R. Pizarro replaces H. E. Martinez Yepez
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces K. Rosero
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
  13. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by I. Tello
    1-1
  14. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by Ricardinho, assisted by D. Garcia
    0-1
  15. 9'
    Yellow Card
    O. Estupinan (Juarez) cautioned

Necaxa vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Juarez
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +250, Juarez +118, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 30.9%
  • Juarez: 44.4%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Juarez (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Necaxa vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Juarez is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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