Necaxa vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. Juarez Liga MX match on February 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
2
1
Feb 14, 8:06 PM ET
Juarez
Feb 14, 8:06 PM ET
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Ricardinho (40')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (43')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruiz (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: J. Manriquez replaces D. Garcia
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Ruiz, assisted by T. Badaloni
2-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces I. Tello
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Ruiz replaces A. E. Almendra
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: E. Ayon replaces O. Estupinan
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Guilherme Castilho replaces Monchu
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: T. Badaloni replaces J. Carranza
77'
Yellow Card
A. Mayorga (Juarez) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces Ricardinho
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: R. Pizarro replaces H. E. Martinez Yepez
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces K. Rosero
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Calderon replaces F. Rossano
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by I. Tello
1-1
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by Ricardinho, assisted by D. Garcia
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
O. Estupinan (Juarez) cautioned

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Necaxa vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Juarez
  • Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +250, Juarez +118, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 30.9%
  • Juarez: 44.4%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 Juarez (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Necaxa vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Juarez is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. Juarez, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.