Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on February 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
1
2
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
Joaquim (o.g.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (60')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces N. Ibanez
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Joaquim (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces V. Lorona
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces J. Paradela
  7. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by A. Correa, assisted by V. Lorona
    1-2
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Angulo replaces J. Sanchez
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces C. Rodriguez
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces O. Campos
  11. 64'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Brunetta replaces C. Araujo
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: O. Herrera replaces M. Flores
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez
    0-2
  15. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by Joaquim (o.g.)
    0-1
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    N. Ibanez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 37'
    Yellow Card
    D. Lainez (Tigres UANL) cautioned

Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, February 15, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +230, Cruz Azul +130, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 31.0%
  • Cruz Azul: 42.7%
  • Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.7%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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