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Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Cruz Azul vs. Atlas at the Liga MX on July 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
:
3
Jul 20, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Jul 20, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
E. Aguirre (17')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gonzalez (31')
Soccer ball icon
Matheus Doria (60')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (pen.) (55')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (58')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by J. Paradela
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Coccaro replaces U. Djurdjevic
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces E. Aguirre
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces M. Bogusz
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces J. Sanchez
82'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces E. Lira
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. del Prete replaces D. Gonzalez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Orrantia replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces L. Romero
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Gonzalez replaces S. Hernandez
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by Matheus Doria, assisted by A. Rocha
2-3
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by M. Bogusz
2-2
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda (pen.)
1-2
45'
Yellow Card
A. Sanchez (Atlas) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by D. Gonzalez, assisted by E. Aguirre
0-2
22'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre
0-1

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Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul -120, Atlas +333, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-109)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 48.6%
  • Atlas: 26.0%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Cruz Azul 1-1 Atlas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 48.6% probability, while Atlas sits at 26.0%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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