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Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Atlas Liga MX game on July 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
:
3
Jul 20, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Atlas
Jul 20, 3:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlasATL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
E. Aguirre (17')
D. Gonzalez (31')
Matheus Doria (60')
A. Sepulveda (pen.) (55')
A. Sepulveda (58')
A. Sepulveda (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by J. Paradela
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Coccaro replaces U. Djurdjevic
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces E. Aguirre
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces M. Bogusz
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces J. Sanchez
82'
Yellow Card
J. Paradela (Cruz Azul) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces E. Lira
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. del Prete replaces D. Gonzalez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Orrantia replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces L. Romero
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: A. Gonzalez replaces S. Hernandez
60'
Goal scored for Atlas by Matheus Doria, assisted by A. Rocha
2-3
58'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda, assisted by M. Bogusz
2-2
55'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda (pen.)
1-2
45'
Yellow Card
A. Sanchez (Atlas) cautioned
31'
Goal scored for Atlas by D. Gonzalez, assisted by E. Aguirre
0-2
22'
Yellow Card
E. Lira (Cruz Azul) cautioned
17'
Goal scored for Atlas by E. Aguirre
0-1

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Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul -120, Atlas +333, Draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-118/-109)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 48.6%
  • Atlas: 26.0%
  • Draw: 25.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Atlas, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Atlas a win probability of 26.0%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 48.6%. The chance of a draw is 25.5%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Atlas predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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