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Toluca vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Puebla in the World Cup on January 30, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
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Jan 31, 1AM
Jan 31, 1AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
N. Diaz (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
(Puebla) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: J. Diaz replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Toluca: P. Perez replaces N. Castro
Substitution for Toluca: E. del Villar replaces Bruno Mendez
Substitution for Puebla: M. Ramirez replaces E. Gomez
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces E. Guerra
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces C. Baltazar
N. Diaz (Puebla) sent off with a straight red card
J. Gallardo (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: F. Rossi replaces S. Cordova
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Puebla: A. Ramirez replaces A. Organista
Substitution for Puebla: K. Velasco replaces L. Rey
Penalty missed by S. Cordova for Toluca
Bruno Mendez (Toluca) cautioned
E. Guerra (Puebla) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Puebla: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Toluca vs. Puebla prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Puebla
- Date: Friday, January 30, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca -210, Puebla +600, draw +340
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/-105)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Toluca: 61.8%
- Puebla: 17.4%
- Draw: 20.7%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Toluca 2-0 Puebla.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.8%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Toluca vs. Puebla prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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