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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Santos Laguna vs. Toluca in the World Cup on January 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
1
3
Jan 15, 3:10AM
Jan 15, 3:10AM
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
H. Ortega (o.g.) (50')
M. Ruiz (53')
Helinho (pen.) (60')
F. Villalba (21')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
C. Gruezo (Santos Laguna) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: J. Diaz replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Santos Laguna: S. Mariscal Murra replaces L. Di Yorio
Substitution for Toluca: S. Cordova replaces Helinho
B. Amione (Santos Laguna) cautioned
E. Orona (Santos Laguna) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: P. Perez replaces N. Castro
Substitution for Santos Laguna: T. Jimenez replaces E. Bullaude
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho (pen.)
1-3
Substitution for Santos Laguna: K. Palacios replaces R. Sordo
Substitution for Santos Laguna: A. Lopez replaces J. Guemez
Goal scored for Toluca by M. Ruiz
1-2
Goal scored for Toluca by H. Ortega (o.g.)
1-1
Substitution for Toluca: S. Simon replaces F. Pumpido
Substitution for Toluca: E. del Villar replaces A. Briseno
Substitution for Santos Laguna: C. Dajome replaces K. Picon
F. Villalba (Santos Laguna) cautioned
K. Picon (Santos Laguna) cautioned
Helinho (Toluca) cautioned
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
J. Guemez (Santos Laguna) cautioned
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by F. Villalba, assisted by E. Bullaude
1-0
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Santos Laguna vs. Toluca: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Santos Laguna vs. Toluca prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Santos Laguna vs. Toluca
- Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Santos Laguna +1000, Toluca -475, draw +700
Dimers' win probabilities
- Santos Laguna: 7.6%
- Toluca: 80.1%
- Draw: 12.3%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Santos Laguna 0-2 Toluca.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 80.1%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Santos Laguna vs. Toluca prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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