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Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toluca vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
1
0
Jan 10, 10:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Jan 10, 10:05 PM ET Estadio BBVA Bancomer
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
Helinho (56')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Monterrey
- Toluca
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Penalty missed by S. Canales for Monterrey
D. Barbosa (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces Helinho
Substitution for Toluca: A. Alvarez replaces N. Castro
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces O. Torres
F. Pereira (Toluca) cautioned
Substitution for Toluca: F. Pereira replaces P. Perez
Substitution for Monterrey: I. Fimbres replaces F. Ambriz
Substitution for Toluca: J. Diaz replaces O. Virgen
Substitution for Monterrey: R. Chavez replaces E. Aguirre
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces G. Arteaga
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces A. Martial
Goal scored for Toluca by Helinho, assisted by S. Simon
1-0
F. Arce (Toluca) cautioned
H. Gonzalez (Toluca) cautioned
Helinho (Toluca) cautioned
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Toluca vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Toluca vs. Monterrey
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 10:05 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Toluca +260, Monterrey +110, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/+108)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Toluca: 30.6%
- Monterrey: 45.8%
- Draw: 23.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Toluca 1-1 Monterrey (10.8%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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Who will win Toluca vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score
Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.
The most likely correct score is Toluca 1-1 Monterrey.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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