Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on January 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
0
2
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
AtlasATL
G. Fernandez (8')
Soccer ball icon
J. Paradela (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: K. Velazquez replaces C. Rodriguez
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces J. Sanchez
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Paradela
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces G. Fernandez
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: S. Hernandez replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces A. Palavecino
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces M. E. Garcia
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces P. Ramirez
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces A. Rocha
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
  12. 45'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
  14. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Gonzalez replaces D. Gonzalez
  15. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela
    0-2
  16. 12'
    Yellow Card
    A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez
    0-1

Atlas vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Wednesday, January 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +700, Cruz Azul -260, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 12.0%
  • Cruz Azul: 68.7%
  • Draw: 19.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 0-2 Cruz Azul (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Atlas vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.7%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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