Atlas vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atlas vs. Puebla at the Liga MX on July 11, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
3
2
Jul 12, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Jul 12, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
AtlasATL
E. Lozano (29')
Soccer ball icon
E. Guerra (85')
Soccer ball icon
G. Aguirre (24')
Soccer ball icon
J. Lozano (51')
Soccer ball icon
A. Mora (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PBL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
F. Moyano (Puebla) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: M. Coccaro replaces U. Djurdjevic
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: G. del Prete replaces D. Gonzalez
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. San Martin replaces A. Mora
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by E. Guerra
3-2
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Robles replaces A. Organista
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: C. Orrantia replaces S. Hernandez
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by A. Mora, assisted by D. Gonzalez
3-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlas: J. Serrato replaces E. Aguirre
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Gomez replaces W. Portales
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces J. Fedorco
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: F. Moyano replaces M. Ramirez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: P. Gamarra replaces L. Rey
58'
Yellow Card
A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
56'
Yellow Card
U. Djurdjevic (Atlas) cautioned
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by J. Lozano
2-1
47'
Yellow Card
J. Lozano (Atlas) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by E. Lozano, assisted by E. Guerra
1-1
26'
Yellow Card
J. Fedorco (Puebla) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlas by G. Aguirre, assisted by D. Gonzalez
1-0

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Atlas vs. Puebla: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atlas vs. Puebla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +200, Puebla +150, draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-166)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atlas: 34.7%
  • Puebla: 38.0%
  • Draw: 27.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atlas 1-1 Puebla, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atlas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.7% probability, while Puebla sits at 38.0%, with the draw at 27.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atlas vs. Puebla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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