Necaxa vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Necaxa vs. San Luis Liga MX match on October 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Necaxa
4
3
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San LuisASL
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
Joao Pedro Galvao (53')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (62')
Soccer ball icon
S. Salles-Lamonge (68')
Soccer ball icon
E. Aguila (o.g.) (57')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (59')
Soccer ball icon
K. Rosero (74')
Soccer ball icon
D. Cambindo (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by D. Cambindo, assisted by K. Rosero
    4-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: Tepa replaces E. Aguila
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: Jesus Alcantar replaces F. Rossano
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces C. Calderon
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: A. Cruz replaces D. Guillen
  7. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by K. Rosero
    3-3
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces E. Lara
  9. 71'
    Yellow Card
    Rodrigo Dourado (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces T. Badaloni
  11. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge, assisted by J. Sanabria
    2-3
  12. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces S. Perez
  13. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by S. Salles-Lamonge
    2-2
  14. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni
    2-1
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by E. Aguila (o.g.)
    1-1
  16. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by Rodrigo Dourado
    0-1
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Guillen replaces Juanpe
  18. 43'
    Yellow Card
    C. Calderon (Necaxa) cautioned
  19. 10'
    Yellow Card
    S. Perez (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

Necaxa vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. San Luis
  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +200, San Luis +120, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+136)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Necaxa: 35.2%
  • San Luis: 41.6%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Necaxa 1-1 San Luis (10.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Necaxa vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

San Luis is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.6%.

The most likely correct score is Necaxa 1-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Necaxa vs. San Luis, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.