Tigres UANL vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Tigres UANL vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on October 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Tigres UANL
2
1
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
Kenedy (77')
Soccer ball icon
Eduardo Bauermann (90')
Red Card icon
O. Idrissi (90')
Red Card icon
J. Brunetta (59')
Soccer ball icon
D. Lainez (78')
Soccer ball icon
M. Farfan (85')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Tigres UANL
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) sent off for a second yellow card
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Romulo (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Red Card
    O. Idrissi (Pachuca) sent off for a second yellow card
  5. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Lainez replaces R. Guerrero
  6. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces J. Berlanga
  7. 85'
    Red Card
    M. Farfan (Tigres UANL) sent off with a straight red card
  8. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Togni replaces Kenedy
  9. 81'
    Yellow Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned
  10. 80'
    Yellow Card
    D. Lainez (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  11. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by D. Lainez, assisted by Romulo
    2-1
  12. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by Kenedy
    1-1
  13. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: J. Cadiz replaces E. Valencia
  14. 68'
    Yellow Card
    M. Farfan (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Garza replaces J. Aquino
  16. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: W. Carvalho replaces P. Pedraza
  17. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: O. Idrissi replaces V. Guzman
  18. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: O. Herrera replaces D. A. Sanchez Guevara
  19. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta
    1-0
  20. 53'
    Yellow Card
    A. Correa (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  21. 42'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aquino (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  22. 37'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanchez (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  23. 15'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned

Tigres UANL vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Wednesday, October 22, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +145, Pachuca +190, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 42.7%
  • Pachuca: 32.1%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Tigres UANL 1-1 Pachuca (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Tigres UANL vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.7%.

The most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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