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Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on October 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
:
1
Oct 22, 1AM Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Oct 22, 1AM Estadio Victoria
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
A. Palavecino (87')
A. Morales (65')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Palavecino, assisted by K. Rosero
1-1
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces E. Lara
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces A. Sepulveda
79'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces A. Pena
65'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Morales, assisted by C. Rotondi
1-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rodriguez replaces L. Romero
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Rotondi replaces L. Faravelli
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Rivero replaces O. Campos
59'
Yellow Card
J. Marquez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces T. Badaloni
33'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces G. Piovi

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Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul +120, Necaxa +240, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+117)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 50.2%
  • Necaxa: 26.5%
  • Draw: 23.3%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 26.5%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 50.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.3%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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