Club Tijuana vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Tijuana vs. Puebla Liga MX match on October 17, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Club Tijuana
3
4
Oct 17, 9:00 PM ET
Puebla
Oct 17, 9:00 PM ET
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
Club TijuanaTIJ
R. Marin (68')
Soccer ball icon
A. de la Rosa (69')
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C. Baltazar (83')
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C. Baltazar (90')
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K. Castaneda (pen.) (52')
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K. Castaneda (60')
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M. El Ghezouani (71')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Tijuana
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: J. R. Pachuca Martinez replaces E. Navarro
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by C. Baltazar
3-4
87'
Yellow Card
E. Bullaude (Club Tijuana) cautioned
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by C. Baltazar
3-3
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces A. Organista
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: E. Bullaude replaces G. Mora
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Tijuana by M. El Ghezouani, assisted by R. Arciga
3-2
69'
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Goal scored for Puebla by A. de la Rosa, assisted by A. Organista
2-2
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by R. Marin, assisted by E. Gomez
2-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: K. Escamilla replaces I. Tona
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: U. Bilbao replaces F. Boya
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: D. Blanco replaces K. Castaneda
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces F. Monarrez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Araos replaces E. Guerra
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Tijuana by K. Castaneda, assisted by R. Arciga
2-0
58'
Yellow Card
I. Tona (Club Tijuana) cautioned
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Club Tijuana by K. Castaneda (pen.)
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Club Tijuana: M. El Ghezouani replaces A. Preciado
26'
Yellow Card
A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
26'
Penalty missed by F. Monarrez for Puebla

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Club Tijuana vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Tijuana vs. Puebla
  • Date: Friday, October 17, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Tijuana +170, Puebla +155, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Tijuana: 37.0%
  • Puebla: 39.1%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Tijuana 1-1 Puebla (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Club Tijuana vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Puebla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.1%.

The most likely correct score is Club Tijuana 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Club Tijuana vs. Puebla, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.