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Cruz Azul vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
1
:
1
Oct 5, 1AM Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Oct 5, 1AM Estadio Universitario
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
J. Brunetta (51')
A. Sepulveda (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UANL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
CRA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
N. Guzman (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Joaquim (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda (pen.)
1-1
90'
Yellow Card
J. Aquino (Tigres UANL) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Tigres UANL) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces J. Brunetta
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Sanchez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces C. Rotondi
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Bogusz replaces J. Paradela
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces L. Romero
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Sanchez replaces J. Angulo
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: U. Antuna replaces O. Herrera
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Rivero replaces L. Faravelli
57'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
51'
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta, assisted by A. Correa
0-1
50'
Yellow Card
C. Rodriguez (Cruz Azul) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
M. Farfan (Tigres UANL) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. Tigres UANL: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul +240, Tigres UANL +110, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-128/+104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 29.7%
  • Tigres UANL: 45.0%
  • Draw: 25.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Tigres UANL, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Tigres UANL a win probability of 45.0%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 29.7%. The chance of a draw is 25.2%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Tigres UANL predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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