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Puebla vs. Queretaro Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Queretaro Liga MX game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
3
Oct 4, 11PM Estadio La Corregidora
Queretaro
Oct 4, 11PM Estadio La Corregidora
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
QueretaroQUT
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
A. Avila (56')
A. Avila (60')
L. Rodriguez (77')
R. Marin (33')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
QUT
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: C. Garcia replaces A. Zapata
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Robles replaces E. Gomez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Orona replaces A. Organista
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces Jhojan Julio
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: E. Armenta replaces A. Avila
77'
Goal scored for Queretaro by L. Rodriguez
1-3
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces R. Marin
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: I. Moreno replaces J. Rivas
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces E. Navarro
60'
Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila, assisted by J. Perlaza
1-2
56'
Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila
1-1
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: P. Barrera replaces A. Perez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: A. Perez replaces M. A. Carcelen Carabali
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Perlaza replaces F. Venegas
43'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
33'
Goal scored for Puebla by R. Marin, assisted by N. Diaz
1-0
32'
Yellow Card
F. Venegas (Queretaro) cautioned

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Puebla vs. Queretaro: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Queretaro
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio La Corregidora

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Puebla +150, Queretaro +200, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+110/-150)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Puebla: 36.1%
  • Queretaro: 37.5%
  • Draw: 26.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Puebla 1-1 Queretaro, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Queretaro a win probability of 37.5%, while Puebla has a win probability of 36.1%. The chance of a draw is 26.4%.

Summary

Our Puebla vs. Queretaro predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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