Guadalajara vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Puebla Liga MX match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
0
Puebla
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
B. Gonzalez (6')
Soccer ball icon
O. Govea (12')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Puebla
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Yellow Card
    E. Guerra (Puebla) cautioned
  2. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: I. Moreno replaces F. Monarrez
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Pulido replaces A. Gonzalez
  4. 69'
    Yellow Card
    F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
  5. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces R. Ledezma
  6. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces M. Ramirez
  7. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces E. Alvarez
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Cowell replaces S. Sandoval
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gonzalez
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces R. Castillo
  11. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Castillo (Puebla) cautioned
  12. 36'
    Yellow Card
    J. Castillo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  13. 34'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Guerra replaces O. Gonzalez
  14. 33'
    Yellow Card
    H. Cristante (Puebla) cautioned
  15. 30'
    Yellow Card
    S. Sandoval (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  16. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by O. Govea, assisted by E. Alvarez
    2-0
  17. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by B. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Ledezma
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Puebla: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Puebla
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +115, Puebla +235, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/-120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 44.4%
  • Puebla: 29.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Puebla (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Puebla? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Puebla.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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