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Pachuca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Necaxa Liga MX game on October 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
1
0
Oct 4, 1AM Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Oct 4, 1AM Estadio Victoria
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
L. Quinones (34')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PAC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces P. Pedraza
79'
Yellow Card
A. Palavecino (Necaxa) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces E. Valencia
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: P. Perez replaces J. Rojas
72'
Yellow Card
P. Pedraza (Pachuca) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
F. Rossano (Necaxa) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces D. Cambindo
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: G. Togni replaces Kenedy
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Luna replaces O. Idrissi
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Sanchez replaces A. Aceves
55'
Yellow Card
I. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned
34'
Goal scored for Pachuca by L. Quinones, assisted by A. Aceves
1-0
31'
Yellow Card
D. Cambindo (Necaxa) cautioned

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Pachuca vs. Necaxa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, October 3, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Pachuca +175, Necaxa +148, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-160/+118)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pachuca: 35.0%
  • Necaxa: 41.3%
  • Draw: 23.7%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Pachuca 1-1 Necaxa, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Necaxa a win probability of 41.3%, while Pachuca has a win probability of 35.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.7%.

Summary

Our Pachuca vs. Necaxa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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