Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez Liga MX match on September 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
3
Sep 23, 11:00 PM ET
Juarez
Sep 23, 11:00 PM ET
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
O. Estupinan (14')
Soccer ball icon
R. Pizarro (69')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme Castilho (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (59')
Soccer ball icon
J. Caicedo (68')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Garcia replaces S. Trigos
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: D. Villalpando replaces R. Pizarro
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by Guilherme Castilho, assisted by Puma
1-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces O. Estupinan
82'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Ramsey replaces A. Carrasquilla
77'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by R. Pizarro, assisted by Puma
1-2
68'
Red Card
J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) sent off for a second yellow card
66'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Vite replaces R. Lopez
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Juarez: Madson replaces R. Fulgencio
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by P. Bennevendo
1-1
39'
Yellow Card
J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
H. E. Martinez Yepez (Juarez) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan
0-1

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Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez
  • Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +150, Juarez +200, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 38.2%
  • Juarez: 34.0%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Juarez (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.2%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.