Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez Liga MX match on September 23, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
3
Juarez
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
O. Estupinan (14')
Soccer ball icon
R. Pizarro (69')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme Castilho (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (59')
Soccer ball icon
J. Caicedo (68')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Garcia replaces S. Trigos
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: D. Villalpando replaces R. Pizarro
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by Guilherme Castilho, assisted by Puma
    1-3
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces O. Estupinan
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Ramsey replaces A. Carrasquilla
  6. 77'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  7. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by R. Pizarro, assisted by Puma
    1-2
  8. 68'
    Red Card
    J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) sent off for a second yellow card
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Macias replaces G. Martinez
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Vite replaces R. Lopez
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Madson replaces R. Fulgencio
  12. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by P. Bennevendo
    1-1
  13. 39'
    Yellow Card
    J. Caicedo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  14. 35'
    Yellow Card
    H. E. Martinez Yepez (Juarez) cautioned
  15. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan
    0-1

Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez
  • Date: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +150, Juarez +200, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 38.2%
  • Juarez: 34.0%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Juarez (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.2%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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