Club Leon vs. Juarez Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Leon vs. Juarez Liga MX match on September 26, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Club Leon
0
2
Juarez
JuarezJUA
Score Summary
Club LeonLEO
O. Estupinan (pen.) (43')
Soccer ball icon
Puma (62')
Soccer ball icon
S. Barreiro (83')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Juarez
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Leon
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Estrada replaces I. Diaz
  2. 83'
    Red Card
    S. Barreiro (Club Leon) sent off for a second yellow card
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: L. Silva replaces Guilherme Castilho
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: D. Villalpando replaces R. Pizarro
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Alvarado replaces E. Rodriguez
  6. 69'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme Castilho (Juarez) cautioned
  7. 68'
    Yellow Card
    S. Barreiro (Club Leon) cautioned
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: R. Fulgencio replaces Madson
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: A. Zaldivar replaces O. Estupinan
  10. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by Puma
    0-2
  11. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces S. Santos
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: J. Murillo replaces M. Mosquera
  13. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by O. Estupinan (pen.)
    0-1
  14. 20'
    Yellow Card
    M. Mosquera (Juarez) cautioned

Club Leon vs. Juarez: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Leon vs. Juarez
  • Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Leon +240, Juarez +115, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/-102)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Leon: 32.8%
  • Juarez: 41.7%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Leon 1-1 Juarez (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Club Leon vs. Juarez? Prediction & correct score

Juarez is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.7%.

The most likely correct score is Club Leon 1-1 Juarez.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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