Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on September 24, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Queretaro
2
:
2
Sep 24, 8:00 PM ET
Cruz Azul
Sep 24, 8:00 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
J. Paradela (14')
Soccer ball icon
L. Romero (75')
Red Card icon
G. Fernandez (83')
Soccer ball icon
S. Homenchenko (20')
Soccer ball icon
S. Homenchenko (35')
Soccer ball icon
Jhojan Julio (62')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Faravelli replaces G. Fernandez
86'
Yellow Card
G. Allison (Queretaro) cautioned
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by G. Fernandez
2-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Bogusz replaces I. Rivero
79'
Yellow Card
M. Bogusz (Cruz Azul) cautioned
75'
Red Card
L. Romero (Cruz Azul) sent off with a straight red card
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: O. Campos replaces W. Ditta
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Orozco replaces G. Piovi
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Robles replaces M. Coronel
62'
Red Card
Jhojan Julio (Queretaro) sent off with a straight red card
51'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces J. Rodarte
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Gomez replaces M. A. Carcelen Carabali
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: F. Venegas replaces J. Perlaza
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by S. Homenchenko
2-1
27'
Yellow Card
M. A. Carcelen Carabali (Queretaro) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
J. Perlaza (Queretaro) cautioned
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by S. Homenchenko, assisted by M. A. Carcelen Carabali
1-1
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela, assisted by L. Romero
0-1

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Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Wednesday, September 24, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +900, Cruz Azul -300, draw +500
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-180/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 8.2%
  • Cruz Azul: 76.4%
  • Draw: 15.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 76.4%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.