Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Puebla vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

• Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
• Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM ET
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

• Moneyline Odds: Puebla +750, Toluca -300, Draw +450

Dimers' Win Probabilities

• Puebla: 10.6%
• Toluca: 73.8%
• Draw: 15.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Puebla 0-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 73.8%, while Puebla has a win probability of 10.6%. The chance of a draw is 15.6%.

Summary

Our Puebla vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.