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Puebla vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Toluca Liga MX match on September 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
Puebla
1
3
Sep 13, 11:00 PM ET Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Toluca
Sep 13, 11:00 PM ET Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)
Score Summary
F. Pereira (31')
J. Gallardo (80')
O. Virgen (89')
F. Monarrez (pen.) (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Toluca
- Puebla
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Toluca: S. Simon replaces D. Barbosa
Substitution for Toluca: J. Estrada replaces A. Vega
Goal scored for Toluca by O. Virgen, assisted by A. Vega
1-3
Goal scored for Puebla by F. Monarrez (pen.)
1-2
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Gallardo, assisted by J. Angulo
0-2
Substitution for Toluca: H. Herrera replaces J. Angulo
Substitution for Toluca: O. Virgen replaces R. Morales
Substitution for Puebla: A. Araos replaces E. Navarro
Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces A. Organista
Substitution for Puebla: L. Rey replaces P. Gamarra
Substitution for Toluca: J. P. Dominguez Chonteco replaces N. Castro
E. Navarro (Puebla) cautioned
Substitution for Puebla: I. Moreno replaces J. Rivas
Substitution for Puebla: R. Castillo replaces E. Gomez
Goal scored for Toluca by F. Pereira, assisted by R. Morales
0-1
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Puebla vs. Toluca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Puebla vs. Toluca
- Date: Saturday, September 13, 2025
- Time: 11:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Puebla +750, Toluca -300, draw +450
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Puebla: 10.6%
- Toluca: 73.8%
- Draw: 15.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Puebla 0-2 Toluca (10.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Puebla vs. Toluca? Prediction & correct score
Toluca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 73.8%.
The most likely correct score is Puebla 0-2 Toluca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
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