Puebla vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on September 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
0
1
Necaxa
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
F. Moyano (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rojas (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces J. Rivas
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: A. Andrade replaces D. De Buen
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces O. Gonzalez
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces R. Marin
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces C. Calderon
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: T. Jacob replaces P. Perez
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: B. Garnica replaces R. Castillo
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: M. Ramirez replaces P. Gamarra
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. Rojas replaces R. Sanchez
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces A. Palavecino
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Navarro replaces J. Fedorco
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Moyano (o.g.)
    0-1
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Marin (Puebla) cautioned

Puebla vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +370, Necaxa -137, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 21.0%
  • Necaxa: 57.4%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 1-1 Necaxa (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Puebla vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.4%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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