Atlas vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on September 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
1
:
1
Mazatlan
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
AtlasATL
F. Almada (87')
Soccer ball icon
U. Djurdjevic (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Atlas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Duarte replaces N. Benedetti
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: Dudu replaces Fabio Gomes
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by U. Djurdjevic (pen.)
    1-1
  4. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by F. Almada, assisted by L. Merolla
    0-1
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Gonzalez replaces D. Gonzalez
  6. 82'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mora (Atlas) cautioned
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: R. Meraz replaces J. Esquivel
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces G. del Prete
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
  11. 61'
    Yellow Card
    U. Djurdjevic (Atlas) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Barcenas (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ramirez (Atlas) cautioned
  15. 44'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: P. Ramirez replaces A. Rocha
  16. 44'
    Penalty missed by N. Benedetti for Mazatlan FC

Atlas vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, September 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +215, Mazatlan +130, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-134/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 32.9%
  • Mazatlan: 39.7%
  • Draw: 27.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 1-1 Mazatlan (13.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atlas vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Mazatlan is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.7%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 1-1 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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