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Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL at the Liga MX on April 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Pumas UNAM
1
2
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Universitario (San Nicolás de los Garza)
Tigres UANL
Apr 20, 3AM Estadio Universitario (San Nicolás de los Garza)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
F. Gorriaran (45')
Soccer ball icon
F. Gorriaran (65')
Soccer ball icon
G. Martinez (pen.) (54')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
UANL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. Ramirez replaces N. Ibanez
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces J. Brunetta
89'
Yellow Card
J. Garza (Tigres UANL) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. A. Quispe Cordova replaces I. Pussetto
87'
Yellow Card
R. Funes Mori (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Lopez replaces L. Suarez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: Rafael Carioca replaces B. Parra
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: S. Cordova replaces U. Antuna
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Garza replaces V. Lorona
72'
Yellow Card
J. Sanchez (Tigres UANL) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Ruvalcaba replaces A. Carrasquilla
69'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Funes Mori replaces G. Martinez
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by F. Gorriaran, assisted by J. Brunetta
1-2
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez (pen.)
1-1
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tigres UANL by F. Gorriaran, assisted by J. Angulo
0-1

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Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +340, Tigres UANL -110, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 22.3%
  • Tigres UANL: 51.6%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 0-1 Tigres UANL, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.3% probability, while Tigres UANL sits at 51.6%, with the draw at 26.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Tigres UANL prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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